Georgia, worth 16 electoral votes, has been designated a decisive state for the November election.
This entry will be constantly updated and serve as a home page for background information, data, research, analysis, articles, and other information relevant to the forthcoming presidential election in Georgia, likely to be between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Bookmark it to keep track of any updates.
Facts and Figures
Basic Election Facts
2024 Electoral Votes: 16
Population (2020 Census): 10,711,908 (+1,024,255 since 2010)
Likely Population at 2024 Election: 11,200,000
Partisanship
Governor Party: Republican
State House Majority: Republican
State Senate Majority: Republican
U.S. House Delegation: 9 Republicans, 5 Democrats
U.S. Senate Delegation: 2 Democrats
Ethnic Demographics (2020 census)
White: 51.9%
Latino: 10.5%
Black: 31.0%
Other: 6.6%
Presidential History Since 1932
Times Republican: 11
Last: Donald Trump, 2016, +5.1%
Times Democrat: 12
Last: Joe Biden, 2020, +0.2%
Presidential Election Characteristics
Georgia was once a staple of the Democrat Solid South, and never backed a Republican for president until Barry Goldwater in 1964, ironically in Lyndon Johnson’s Democrat national landslide. It began to transition into a Republican state in the 1980s, and only lapsed in 1992 thanks to H. Ross Perot sandbagging George H.W. Bush just enough to allow Bill Clinton to win it.
Georgia’s white vote is heavily Republican, although in the older Atlanta suburbs of Cobb and Gwinnett Counties, that share is waning, creating a pathway for competition against an overwhelmingly Democrat black vote, which has transformed the electoral characteristics of not only Fulton and DeKalb Counties, the core urban counties of metro Atlanta, but nearly every county in the Atlanta metroplex.
The Peach State implemented Automatic Voter Registration in late 2016, and it didn’t have much time to bloat the voter roll before Donald Trump carried the state in November; however, the voter rolls in the state, especially in the key counties of metro Atlanta, have bloated to extreme levels, and with the expansion of mail-in balloting in a state in which its own Elections board has admitted to widespread corruption, a substantial threat to elections is present.
2020 Review
Official: Joe Biden +0.2% (11,779 votes in margin)
Keshel Revised Likely: Donald Trump +7.5% (347,674 votes in margin)
Video overview of Georgia’s 2020 Presidential Election
Video overview of Fulton County’s 2020 Presidential Election
Video overview of DeKalb County’s 2020 Presidential Election
Video overview of Cobb County’s 2020 Presidential Election
Video overview of Gwinnett County’s 2020 Presidential Election
Literature
Is Joe Biden Abandoning Georgia? Four Key Takeaways if True
Metro Atlanta’s Gang of Eight: The Demise of Red Georgia
What’s 300,000+ Fictitious Votes Between Friends?
Halderman Ignores Georgia’s Elephants in the Room
Fulton County Precinct Mapping Project Unearths Major Gold in East Point