Captain K's Corner

Captain K's Corner

Share this post

Captain K's Corner
Captain K's Corner
Background: How I Called 2016 Perfectly, and Why That Matters for 2020
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

Background: How I Called 2016 Perfectly, and Why That Matters for 2020

Topic: Elections

Capt. Seth Keshel's avatar
Capt. Seth Keshel
Apr 03, 2022
∙ Paid
19

Share this post

Captain K's Corner
Captain K's Corner
Background: How I Called 2016 Perfectly, and Why That Matters for 2020
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
3
Share

Everywhere I go, or on any new podcast, I am generally asked how I got involved in the election integrity movement.  Some believe it all began in the aftermath of the stolen 2020 “election,” but my serious work in political analytics began in 2016.  I have always been “conservative,” even before I was old enough to cast a vote.  Life’s learning process refined my views, and by the time Donald J. Trump rolled out his campaign in 2015, I was a fire-breathing, anti-establishment populist.  I have little admiration for anything dubbed “conservative” without a substantial track record of positive impact associated with it.  Unfortunately, conservatives don’t conserve much these days.

In 2016, I called all 50 states, including the split electoral votes of Maine and Nebraska, plus Washington, D.C., accurately.  Unfortunately, thanks to my lack of significant online presence at that time, you’ll need to take my word for it.  11 days prior to the election, I had an article published in American Thinker that accurately highlighted the severe disparity between two mainstream polls that were seven points off of one another, the same percentage by which John McCain was utterly annihilated by Barack Obama in 2008.  How could the media miss nearly ten million votes of margin between two candidates in a nationwide poll, if not for complete fabrication of polling data?

A few days later, just before the election, I mapped out the race, and wound up calling every state accurately.  I had learned the tricks of party registration analysis, thanks to Larry Schweikart, and saw the pro-Trump shift happening in rapid fashion in the industrial Midwest.  You can blame the media for directing my attention to that phenomenon.  You see, for over a century, Ohio has shown the political pulse of America.

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Captain K's Corner to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Capt. Seth Keshel
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More