Demographics are Destiny, and Democrats are the New Whigs

Topic: Perspective

If you’ve followed politics since before Donald Trump became the standard bearer of the Republican Party, then you certainly remember the condescending Democrats snickering about Mitt Romney’s lackluster 2012 performance, in which 43 states managed to move right against President Obama, but only two flipped – Indiana and North Carolina. Romney couldn’t even win Ohio, Iowa, or Florida, and you should not forget that simple fact next time you’re getting an earful of what about from anti-Trumpers in your social circle.

Romney, of course, piled up ridiculously high margins in the suburban enclaves of Red State USA, and even posted numbers in suburban blue states that, if paired with Trump’s rural numbers in states like Minnesota, would create some new flip candidates; unfortunately for the do-nothing branch of the GOP and the Massachusetts Moderate (as my friend Newt Gingrich likes to call him), the white-working class didn’t change sides in big enough numbers to give him an electoral majority.

“Demographics are destiny,” they said, snickering over Obama’s 90% margins with blacks, 45% margins with Latinos, and similarly dominant numbers with almost all other minority groups, single women, and mentally disturbed individuals who fit into their own specially crafted categories of outcast. Despite getting blown out in Texas that year thanks to suburban whites, Democrats began to salivate over all states with large minority populations, especially Latinos, which are expanding as a share of population rapidly and in states you wouldn’t even think of at first pass, like New Jersey.

Those arrogant left-wing fools eventually convinced themselves the electoral map would look like this by the 2030s:

If you think I’m kidding, then think again. They were so convinced that America becoming less white and steadily populated by Latinos and other immigrant groups meant electoral dominance for… well, forever. Their idea of a swing state would be North Carolina, Georgia, or maybe a state like Iowa if it ever started voting like its demographics relative to the rest of the country, but most certainly not the Industrial Midwest or any state in process of becoming much browner (or tan, to be more precise). The only question to be answered, in their minds, is whether the Democrat presidential nominee would finish above or below 400 electoral votes.

Lacking any real connection to the working-class voters of the Midwest and failing to dent the margins of the growing minority population could mean only one thing for the GOP – doom. Since 1856, it had been almost exclusively a Democrat vs. Republican game, even though some sparkplugs like Theodore Roosevelt or H. Ross Perot threw a wrench into things from time to time. At that point, 156 years later, people were starting to ask a very valid question:

Is the GOP going the way of the Whigs?

Pennsylvania Democrat U.S. Senator John Fetterman doesn’t seem to think so, at least not with the way he is acting and speaking. In fact, Fetterman is either one of two things:

· Sincere in his desire to understand voters and legislate accordingly

· Conniving and shrewd

In most cases involving politicians, the latter choice is the logical choice. I don’t think he has the gravitas needed to become the Democrat standard bearer, especially with that party’s base becoming increasingly driven by the whims of single cat ladies, the alphabet soup mafia, singers, and movie stars, but his willingness to work with Team Trump couldn’t make it more clear that he understands Pennsylvania is not interested in the woke mob mentality, and in fact, split for Trump in the last three elections (yes, including 2020) because it was tired of having its jobs sent to other countries and the treasury broken for illegal aliens and other assorted squatters. Fetterman knows what it will take to get reelected based on what I’m going to tell you in the balance of this article.

Elected officials, especially federal ones, have insight you and I are not afforded access to. Mr. Fetterman undoubtedly has all sorts of information, good and bad alike, which helps him inform his decision-making process. He would have a better idea, for instance, than you or I would about what the next apportionment process will yield for Electoral College vote tallies on top of what I already think the GOP states have been pilfered out of.

So, about the Whigs – they weren’t around for very long, for starters. Founded by Henry Clay, they sprang up in 1833 in opposition to Jacksonian politics, managed to win two presidential elections (yielding four presidents thanks to deaths in office – W.H. Harrison, Tyler, Taylor, Fillmore), and folded by 1856, only two years after the Republican Party was founded. The Whigs were against expansionism and manifest destiny, and ultimately collapsed because they couldn’t figure out what to do over the politics of slavery, which most of their key leadership opposed personally, but tried to manage politically without success.

Supply and demand (with the demand being the public’s desire to follow suit with much of the rest of the world abolishing slavery) saw to it that the Republican Party, an abolitionist party, filled the void left by this indecision. Although many prominent Whigs became Republicans, such as Abraham Lincoln and his fellow presidents Chester Arthur, Rutherford Hayes, and Benjamin Harrison, a failure to adapt to the demands of the electorate and the needs of the citizenry formally ushered the Whig Party to the dustbin of American history.

The Way of the Whigs is nothing more than another way to say the following words: extinction, eradication, vanishing, annihilation, exile. The media have been gloating about the GOP going “the way of the Whigs” for quite some time now. The gloating was obvious after the 2020 election fiasco:

And it was also obvious before Trump was elected the first time, in the afterglow of the Romney ritual seppuku, in which GOPers convinced themselves they needed a soft moderate with no teeth to appeal to people with no real problems requiring drastic solutions:

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What the Future May Bring

It is obvious to me, given current shifts within the working-class vote of all ethnicities and the composition of the various electoral college blocs, the future belongs to the GOP if they simply accomplish two things:

· Nominate economic populists as close to the heart of Trump as possible for President, and down ballot, including for county leadership positions

· Pursue drastic reforms to election integrity to shatter the false “blue wall.”

Failure to nominate those perceived as outsiders with a nationalist agenda will return the GOP to 2012 levels of bullshittery, aligned with losing Ohio, Iowa, and Florida, like Romney and all his decency brought us. If you recall, he was evil, racist, misogynist, and accused of animal cruelty (which was true), and probably would have been accused of banging every bimbo in Boston if he wasn’t such a stiff.

So long as Republicans obey Napoleon, they will dominate the political future:

Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake.

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Base Camp

The enemy, including practically every single Democrat except Senator Fetterman, is hellbent on pissing off even more men than they just did, and seem content to let them kick their daughters’ asses on the field, track, ring, or court. That means these states will vote red for any Republican with a pulse in a presidential election, and for more collective electoral votes as time marches on:

Say goodbye to 20 states, 125 and counting electoral votes, because Democrats are insane and pissed off the white Christian American so badly they will vote for a skunk hide before a Democrat for president – these represent 46.3% of the electoral votes needed to win the White House before campaigning even begins, and with another census properly conducted, may approach half of the requisite electoral payload.

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Changing Colors