Four Key Predictions for the First Republican Debate Night and the Carlson Interview
Topic: Predictions
Tonight, in Milwaukee, the following eight candidates are expected to take part in the first Republican presidential debate:
Gov. Doug Burgum (ND), Gov. Chris Christie (NJ), Gov. Ron DeSantis (FL), Gov. Nikki Haley (SC), Gov. Asa Hutchinson (AR), VP Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, Sen. Tim Scott (SC)
I suspect this debate field will resemble a meteorite entering Earth’s atmosphere and crumbling into millions of dust particle and rock fragments, with a number of these candidates qualifying for this first debate in what I would consider a miracle, and two of the more interesting candidates, Larry Elder and Perry Johnson, squeezed out. With President Trump appearing on a pre-recorded interview with Tucker Carlson at the same time, we are potentially in for even more amusing optics than when DeSantis’s campaign announcement on Twitter belly-flopped in epic fashion.
Let’s be honest. The candidates listed above are either hoping the courts drag Trump out of the race, or the states themselves remove him from their ballots, or they’re running for a book deal or a cabinet position; nevertheless, this process has to play out, even if there is no real market for a new candidate since 80% of Republican primary voters believe the 2020 election (a quasi-election, at best) was impacted by cheating, and the person who should have won that election is running again, and is mentally intact and physically well, despite propaganda online to the contrary.
Without further ado, here are four key predictions in advance of tomorrow’s debate:
I. President Trump’s Decision to Decline the Debate is the Right Call
CBS News polling credits Trump with a 46-point lead nationally over DeSantis, and other polling shows that lead only grows in the Rust Belt and in the Deep South. There is absolutely no upside for President Trump to participate, especially since he would be attacked by the other eight for the entire debate and be set up to make mistakes.
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