Four Pathways to Save America

Topic: Elections

I have no doubt that Donald Trump was the rightful winner of the 2020 “election,” and have never left any doubt as to where I stood on that matter.  If you need reassurance, just look up what America’s chief propagandists have to say about yours truly.  I have even laid out, county by county, precisely how big I think the steal was, and what the most likely outcomes were given all available information.

Still, I take heat from our side from many who do not truly understand what I am trying to convey – that our elections are not trustworthy or reflective of the will of the electorate.  If I had full visibility into the inner workings of Los Angeles County for the past thirty years, then yes, perhaps California is much tighter than even my models suggest.  The same can be said for New York City, Seattle, Chicago, Minneapolis, or any other major metro that single-handedly determines statewide electoral outcomes.

I acknowledge this issue and tend to focus on the low-hanging fruit.  Sitting on an airplane, I’ve convinced more neighboring passengers about the easy 2020 states, such as Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Arizona, than I can count.  It does me no good to harp on and on about California when it is an enemy-controlled state that will not be exposed to the light of truth until we obtain the strategic position to do so, and that can only be done by navigating available paths to victory.

Because I choose to exist and operate in reality, I set out to identify actionable plans that may lead to victory.  The path to victory in 2024 is extremely narrow.  Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan were accidental victories in 2016, at least in the eyes of Democrats.  Once the Trump-trending coalition of states (most Trump-won states from 2016) were identified, the enemy knew where to seat their people in 2018 to control the 2020 electoral vote distribution.  When Democrats take over a state, they do not tend to give it back, as evidenced by the eight states flipped by Bill Clinton in 1992 that have never come back to the Republican column once in three decades.

The Republican Party of George W. Bush pissed away Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, and New Mexico in his second term, and those states have never come back.  With those 34 electoral votes still under Republican control, the 2024 Trump path would be much easier, needing potentially just one more electoral vote, not 35 more.

Acknowledging 191 controlled “blue” electoral votes, many of which were within six points in a real 2020 election, Donald Trump must find 270 votes out of the remaining 347.  He has 176 all-but-guaranteed “red” electoral votes at his disposal, meaning he must then pick up 94 of the remaining 171.

Those 171 votes represent the “decisive” states that will determine the winner of the 2024 “election,” which is primed to be a cheat-fest that will probably make 2020 look like child’s play, especially now that a mail-in voting and ballot harvesting initiative has been launched by the Trump campaign.  59 of those votes come from states Trump won in 2020 despite substantial fraud in all three – they are Texas (40 electoral votes), North Carolina (16), and Alaska (3).  For those who question my sanity, consider:
*Texas was won by Trump by just 5.6% (my real margin is at least 14.0%), which is nearly identical to Trump’s winning margin in Georgia from 2016.

*North Carolina’s abused mail-in voting system resulted in a narrow 1.3% Trump win in 2020, despite my forecast based on substantial data predicting a Trump margin of 9.0%.

*Alaska was held for days, most likely because it was on reserve in case a three-vote state was needed to get Biden over 270, if the steals in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Georgia failed.  Alaska has also moved to a mail-in heavy voting system, complete with Ranked-Choice Voting.

Identifying those three states is critical for not getting “Georgia’d” out of any those mission-critical 59 electoral votes.  Should Trump be robbed of either Texas or North Carolina, I would consider the Trump campaign irreparably crippled and lacking any path to victory.  Furthermore, even taking away Alaska’s three measly electoral votes keeps Trump under 270 in all four of the following scenarios I consider valid.

Simply put, Trump must carry Texas, North Carolina, and Alaska, in addition to what I consider the floor “guarantee” of 176 electoral votes.  That would get him to the base camp, what I call the “Core 235” (note: Nebraska is considering a bill to make its electoral votes winner-take-all, which would eliminate the possibility of its 2^nd Congressional District’s electoral vote going to the Democrat nominee in 2024 – that would make this the “Core 236”).

The Four Paths

Ranked in Order of Difficulty