Irrefutable Point VI: Voter Registration by Party Foreshadows a Trump Landslide

Topic: Elections

As I pass the halfway point of highlighting clear national trends, indicators, predictors, and bellwethers signaling a Trump landslide in 2020, it should be re-stated that honest citizens simply want transparency in elections.  Nearly everyone is willing to accept legitimate results; however, when every guidepost available foretells a result 180 degrees different from the one presented, resistance to proclaiming legitimacy should be expected.

Larry Schweikart, the former professor and author of the must-own book, A Patriot’s History of the United States, may be unaware that he is the one who alerted me to the importance of voter registration by party as a predictor all the way back in 2016, when I used it to properly forecast the 2016 election.  We know polling is trash, used to suppress votes of patriots and justify fraudulently derived outcomes, but most don’t realize that voter registration by party (not available in all states) is nearly impeccable when it comes to forecasting election results.  Put simply, if a party gains in registration between elections, you should expect an increased margin of victory if that party won the previous election, or a decreased margin of defeat (or a flip of the race) if that party lost the previous election.  This is generally applicable at the county and state levels.  In fact, it is the method I used to predict Florida to Donald Trump by over 300,000 votes, making me one of few to do so. 

States that register voters by party (32 + DC): AK, AZ, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, ID, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SD, UT, VT, WV, WY, DC

Observe the change in “Party ID” in Pennsylvania (below), and its impact on statewide presidential results since 2004.  In 2004, John Kerry won the state narrowly over George W. Bush, by 2.5%, when his party had a registration advantage of 6.9% in the state (6.9% more registered Democrats than Republicans in the state).  The failures of the Bush administration, combined with the emergence of the charismatic Barack Obama riding a tailwind pendulum shift, led to the state becoming an additional 7.3% more Democrat in registration for 2008, signaling a Democrat blowout well left of Kerry’s winning margin.  He wound up winning the state by 10.3%, the biggest Democrat margin of victory since 1964.