There has been plenty of talk about the Maricopa County, Arizona, “election” of 2020. After all, that county is one of the largest in America and constitutes more than 60 percent of the vote in a typical statewide election. It didn’t take a forensic audit, the first of its kind, to demonstrate a serious electoral crisis, because it was obvious in the statistics from day one.
I am fond of describing the graphic below in terms of a blackjack hand. If the dealer’s “up” card showed a Trump gain of 248,000 votes, a Republican record, from 2016, when he won the county, in a county not won by Democrats since 1948, how much would you have bet that he would win it again? The answer should be, “everything.”
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