Time is a nearly incalculable element in the political space. Lots can happen in just four days, which is how long ago it was when Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., announced he would pursue the presidency as an independent candidate. It is nearly old news already, not even 96 hours after it broke. Since then, President Trump’s “fraud” case in New York has taken up most of the information space, making the Kennedy announcement fade into what it has become – speculation.
I outlined why Kennedy’s involvement in the race should help Trump, and not Biden, in my Saturday article. As usual, I used historical examples of candidates like John B. Anderson to demonstrate how not all third-party candidates disrupt the path of a conservative or populist candidate and gave specific examples of Kennedy policies and positions that will alienate, not attract, Trump’s base, or even the standard Republican voters who need industry to prosper if they are to thrive personally.
This logical approach hasn’t stopped the occasional boo-birds throwing up contrarian articles and telling me I’m leading Trump down a path to failure by “discounting” RFK. Truthfully, my position that election fraud is the biggest threat to having champions of the people in office hasn’t changed one bit. When I was an Army intelligence officer, my job was to tell the truth. If the baby was ugly, I had to say so. To tell my commander anything less than an accurate assessment of the battlefield would be to risk the safety and mission success of the unit; as such, I am required in this line of work to break from groupthink if I must and tell it like it is.
Will Kennedy take votes from Trump? Absolutely.
But did you know that third party candidates draw from the main party candidates every single election? Did you know Trump and Clinton only combined for 95% of the vote in 2016, with Trump losing plenty of votes to Gary Johnson in states like Arizona, Nevada, Colorado, Wisconsin (won by Republican nominee for the first time since 1984), Alaska, and Minnesota (closest Republican margin since 1972)? The question isn’t “will Kennedy pull from Trump?” but rather, “where will Kennedy pull from Trump, and how much, and where will he pull from Biden?” Operating in a scarcity mindset, which perpetuates battered conservative syndrome, leads us to believe we are doomed because sporadic word of mouth suggests not every single person you know in your world thinks exactly like we do.
If it makes anyone feel better, here are the stats of the polls I ran yesterday:
Telegram – 96% voting Trump, 1% voting Kennedy
Truth Social – 99% voting Trump, <1% voting Kennedy
X – 94% voting Trump, 2% voting Kennedy
I realize worry, doom, and gloom go hand in hand with the modern American right – but it doesn’t have to be that way. If we embrace liberty and free speech, we should respect the well-stated and well-researched opinions of those who don’t fully agree with our assessments, so long as they can defend those positions. I respect “Sundance” at The Conservative Treehouse because he is usually right, and always tells you why he feels a certain way about a certain issue, and will be the first to acknowledge that disagreement is often crucial to finding the clearest picture – the American founders felt the same way when drafting the framework of the nation.
So – who makes the populist conservative case against RFK most effectively? The man himself. Truth Social user “ConservaNerd” said it best – “all you have to do is quote him.”
Quote 1
The above X post, penned in 2018 in the aftermath of the Parkland school shooting in Florida, is not aging well, if indeed all those hunters in the Midwest were expected to break ties from Trump:
Parkland students are right; the NRA is a terror group.
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