The Final Prediction*

Topic: 2024 Election Forecast

November 5, 2024

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Here is my final Electoral College map for the 2024 race:

Donald Trump 312 Electoral Votes

Kamala Harris 226 Electoral Votes

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Safe Electoral Votes

Electoral Votes Decided by At Least 8% (219-191 Trump)

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“Leaner” Electoral Votes

Electoral Votes Decided by Less Than 8% and Not Included in the 7 Decisive States (31-16 Harris)

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Seven Decisive States Electoral Votes

Electoral Votes From my list of 7 Decisive States (77-4 Trump)

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Most Likely to Be Wrong and Go to Trump

New Hampshire

 Nebraska 2^nd CD

New Mexico

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Most Likely to Be Wrong and Go to Harris

Michigan

Nevada

As with everything, none of this matters if we don’t have a free and fair election (hence the asterisk in the title of this post) and if the people don’t get out and do their duty to vote – so stop reading this journal and get the job done.  I’ll be casting my ballot in a battleground for the first time in my life today in Pima County, Arizona.

Be sure to catch me and Larry Schweikart starting at 6:00 PM at the Decision USA Online headquarters for all-night election coverage here.

God be with us.

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Seth Keshel, MBA, is a former Army Captain of Military Intelligence and Afghanistan veteran. His analytical method of election forecasting and analytics is known worldwide, and he has been commended by President Donald J. Trump for his work in the field.