2023: End of Year Predictions Scorecard

Topic: Perspective

Having a loud voice in any topic gives the owner many possible courses of action.  One is to continue along the path of what made the voice one deemed as noteworthy or credible; another is to divert from that path and focus on cranking out buzzwords, hot terms, or the dreaded clickbait.  A short-run approach to success, living in the here and now, focuses on the second path and gives not acknowledgment to future viability.  The long-term approach to success holds itself to a different standard.

Long-term credibility requires retracting inaccurate or false posts when (not if) they make it out to the public, owning wrong predictions, and providing actionable objectives for future progress.  That means it is time for me to evaluate my “Ten Bold Predictions for 2023,” which I released on January 1 of this year.

Without further ado, a scorecard for my 2023 predictions, with the year nearly 99% complete (unlike Fulton County, my percentage counted is accurate and not subject to lengthy delays):

I.               Election Integrity is and will Remain King

Rating: Direct Hit

Key Rationale

*Consistent Rasmussen polling showing more than 60% of Americans not trusting outcome of 2020 election determined fairly.

*Georgia lawsuits and trickle of evidence of Fulton County corruption

*Arizona lawsuits and evidence presented showing corruption in Maricopa election handling

*New York Citizens Audit releases

*Political persecution of Trump and allies made to suppress election conversation

II.             Florida will Overtake Texas as the King Republican State

Rating: Direct Hit

Key Rationale

*Texas Republican House bent on self-destruction in pursuit of Attorney General Paxton impeachment

*Texas House Speaker degrades dignity of House while apparently conducting business drunk on duty, overwhelming any comparison to Florida GOP Chairman’s reported misconduct

*Florida is national exemplar for coalition shifting – with citizens of Cuban and Venezuelan ancestry showing America it is acceptable to be minorities and abandon the Democrat party

*Florida, despite the weak DeSantis campaign, is on track to be won by Trump in 2024 by more votes and a higher margin than Texas

III.            Blue State Blues will Intensify

Rating: Direct Hit

Key Rationale

*Census data appears to be manipulated to preserve blue state electoral college power by 12-16 votes, at expense of almost exclusively red states

*Manipulation benefits California, New York, Illinois, and other states most, with some lost electoral votes going to Colorado and Oregon instead of Arizona or Georgia

*Expansion of suburban terrain in known red states and accompanying voter registration boom in non-automatic voter registration states suggests continued trend of blue states losing population

*Unofficial population statistics now reflect declining population in California, New York, and other left-wing hubs such as King County, Washington

IV.           Remaining Blue State Patriots will Revitalize the Freedom Movement

Rating: Direct Hit

Key Rationale

*Blue state election integrity activists remain the most engaged of all, as evidence by work of Patriot Force California, New York Citizens Audit, and other organizations

*Distrust of government lies and tyranny evident in blue states, especially after cover-up of government mismanagement of Maui disaster

V.             Dissidence will Become the new Counter-Culture

Rating: Direct Hit

Key Rationale

*Public support for President Trump was evident in inner-city Atlanta as his caravan passed through on its way to his booking

*Polling for President Trump against Joe Biden is more favorable at this point in a campaign cycle than in either of his two previous runs, and with nearly every polling demographic

*Support for mandates and other tyrannical measures are at all-time lows

VI.           Separatism in the Open

Rating: Direct Hit

Key Rationale

*Happening from both sides, with movements like Greater Idaho making an appeal to conservative, mostly Eastern Oregon counties to join Idaho, and on the left, with papers beginning to discuss what lies ahead for blue states if Trump wins again

*Paranoia over Trump winning again may lead to action based on leaked plan for wargaming 2020 election – a national divorce is closer today than at any point in the past 160 years

VII.          Katie Hobbs will Face a Recall Election

Rating: Miss

Key Rationale

*A good reason for a miss, because Lake’s team continued to push challenges in Arizona’s courts late into this year

*Lake has decided to run for U.S. Senate, and most political efforts in Arizona are going to the 2024 races

VIII.        Republican Runners-Up

Rating: Partial Hit

Key Rationale
*Hits on Haley and Pence declaring candidacies

*Missed out on Larry Hogan, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin, who can smell the coffee and decided not to get wrecked going up against Trump

*Cheney may still consider trying to play spoiler as a write-in or independent candidate

IX.            Kari Lake Will Emerge as Donald Trump’s VP Pick

Rating: Miss

Key Rationale

*This is the biggest change since my mid-year predictions review, and it is based solely on her declared candidacy for U.S. Senate, which must have certainly been blessed off on by President Trump

X.             Serious Discussion to Replace Joe Biden for 2024

Rating: Partial Hit

Key Rationale

*A downgrade from mid-year, largely because of the proximity to primaries and Biden’s commentary about running

*Gavin Newsom appearances for unnecessary debates with people like Ron DeSantis, as well as Biden’s unwillingness to field primary and general election teams in key states leave open the possibility of a 2024 surprise easily excusable by Biden’s age and condition

Final Tally

Direct Hits 6

Partial Hits 2

Misses 2

Author’s Note: In my own tradition, I wish you “Merry Christmas,” and a joy-filled season with your family and friends.  2024 is shaping up to be a big year, and I will create tons of informative content, some free, and some for paid subscribers in order to sponsor my mission of pursuing nationwide election reform.  You can sign up as a paying member here for a 25% discount, good through the rest of the month.  Thank you!