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Ten Bold Predictions for 2023
New beginnings bring new goals. Those goals, if in the form of New Year’s Resolutions, often bring about crowded gyms and more shopping around the edges of the grocery stores, if only for a little while. Goals can be intimidating and impose a degree of responsibility upon the goal-setter that may be uncomfortable once reality sets in.
In that event, it is always safe to settle for making predictions. If you’re right, like when I called the 2016 election perfectly in every state, you can talk about it forever. Without further ado, here are my Top 10 Predictions for 2023:
I. Election Integrity is and will Remain King
Regardless of how “under control” GOP legislatures think their state is when it comes to elections, nothing could be further from the truth. The miserable failure of the 2022 midterm only exacerbated the anger Americans felt after President Trump was wrongfully deprived of a second term just two short years ago.
Kari Lake’s slam-dunk case that was carelessly punted by a Maricopa County judge has only fueled the fire and rightly pissed off not only every patriot who has paid attention for the past two years, but now every rank and file Republican who has kicked the tires as to whether he or she should believe the so-called election deniers who have permeated their ranks one county party at a time.
My own “Four for the Core” county-level engagement plan has already garnered responses from patriots in more than one-eighth of county equivalents in the United States and underscores just how critical the elections issue is. If it is not fixed, we have no country, and no control over who it is who represents “We the People.”
II. Florida will Overtake Texas as the King Republican State
In 2012, Mitt Romney won Texas by 1.26 million votes, and lost Florida by 74,000, making the two states 1.3 million votes apart from a Republican perspective. In 2016, that last number tightened to 694,000, with Texas being won by Trump by a much narrower margin than in 2012, and Florida flipping.
In 2020, thanks to the massive election manipulation across the country and particularly in Texas, the two states were just 250,000 votes apart, with both sending Republican electors to the electoral college. However, Texas was the ninth closest state overall, and voted left of Ohio for the first time since 1976. Since Texas has done very little to shore up elections since 2020, and Florida has made some meaningful reforms (including making ballot harvesting a felony and the creation of an election crimes department), it is not a reach to anticipate that Florida, now with 30 electoral votes, will be won by the Republican nominee, presumably Donald Trump, by more votes and a larger margin than Texas, now with 40 electoral votes, will be.
Even Florida’s urban counties are taking a right turn, with few exceptions. The opposite is happening in Texas, where Austin, Houston, and Dallas are spilling over and contaminating adjacent counties, weakening their Republican margins, and thus, their reliability for electing local Republican governments and sending Republican representation to Austin.
III. Blue State Blues will Intensify
The gradual emigration from tyrannical “blue states” to more business-friendly and affordable “red states” accelerated during the overly dramatic COVID-19 mitigation period. In the 2020-21 period, 17 states (including 11 that Biden won or supposedly won), lost net population to other states, primarily Arizona, Texas, Florida, and other red states. The graphic below illustrates the percentage change in population in all 50 states in that timeframe.
Not much has changed since then, other than supply and demand and the removal of Trump from the White House allowing for the most draconian of COVID restrictions to be rescinded. Not only have blue states continued raising taxes, crippling industry, and doubling down on the woke agenda, but several red states have been choked out by obvious corruption in the elections system, like in Georgia, or other key areas like border enforcement, like in Arizona, which also runs perhaps the most corrupt elections in America.
Donald Trump’s 2020 electoral college hand, certified with the fraud, is worth three more electoral votes now than it was two years ago, and will be worth four more (for a total of 236) if the Nebraska legislature passes a bill making its electoral votes winner take all, rather than leaving its 2nd Congressional District up for grabs. This is despite the fact that the federal government is shorting red states and propping up blue states when gaging population for electoral college representation, which would truly devastate Democrats in presidential and U.S. House races if remedied. With Democrats openly hostile to industry, yet still in power in the Industrial and Upper Midwest, expect the exodus of the working class to accelerate in this new year, and for wise red state governors to accommodate this shift of the nation’s labor force to their states seamlessly.
IV. Remaining Blue State Patriots will Revitalize the Freedom Movement
Despite the massive population exodus from blue states reshaping the electoral map, many patriots remain committed to fighting for their homes and defending freedom where they stand. I have seen this firsthand with hundreds of patriots crowding election integrity forums in the worst weather conditions various places, such as the Pacific Northwest, can dish out.
If “buy low, sell high” applies to the states themselves, then California, New York, Washington, Oregon, New Jersey, and Illinois are certainly due to rebound thanks to the impact of heavy-handed, top-down, bureaucratic government restricting the liberties of millions of freedom loving patriots who owe it to a functioning economy to support their families. Conversely, longtime Republican states like Texas or South Carolina lack a sense of urgency and maintain a false sense of security about the agenda of their leftist counterparts and fail to act until it is absolutely needed. It is alarming to see rallies called Save Texas while the state is still run completely by Republicans at state level. The revitalization of the movement hinges on patriots suffering the worst forms of government crackdown to show the successful path forward for those battling mandates, fraud, and corruption of key institutions.
V. Dissidence will Become the New Counter-Culture
Election fraud, at least until now, has masked the truth of how society feels about the tinpot bureaucrats who are wrecking one county or state at a time. Since Elon Musk began the radical transformation of how Twitter conducts its operations, dissident comments on pages belonging to political criminals like Katie Hobbs are no longer scrubbed and censored and paint a much different reactionary picture than we are led to believe by fake polling and “news” coverage.
The success of states like Florida, which has long disregarded the virtue signaling ways of other states along the eastern seaboard, has become obvious and undeniable, and appeals to far more than the standard suburban Republican voter base of the past four decades. As the U.S. government continues to tighten the screws on everyday Americans, with enough cash to send by the tens of billions to Ukraine, and its officials live a life of largesse, resentment with the “ruling class” will grow, and every form of virtue signaling will be soundly mocked and rejected, and rightfully so.
VI. Separatism in the Open
Oklahoma State Senator Nathan Dahm has recently filed a resolution proposing an amendment to the Oklahoma Constitution calling for the state to be declared a “sovereign state.” The amendment itself does not promote separatism, the theory promoting the separation of one body from another but would certainly meet federal opposition that may very well launch a series of events rivaling the Nullification Crisis of 1832-33 under President Andrew Jackson.
Here is the text of the amendment:
“The State of Oklahoma is a sovereign state, a part of the Federal Union known as the United States of America, and the Constitution of the United States is the supreme law of the land and any laws to the contrary are null, void, and of no effect in this state.”
The passage of such an amendment would eventually come in conflict with a federal mandate and be met with the expected federal response that discards state and individual sovereignty. There are many separatist movements present in America today, along with movements to cut certain portions of states away from out-of-control states like Oregon, California, and Colorado, and join them with Idaho, Wyoming, or even create an entirely new state. We have seen this with cities and towns seeking sovereignty and control outside of the jurisdiction of tyrannical counties, and I have no doubt this trend will accelerate in 2023 as state and local rights are eroded.
VII. Katie Hobbs will Face a Recall Election
If Kari Lake’s appeals process ends unsuccessfully, which is possible with America’s politicized courts despite her treasure trove of evidence, Katie Hobbs will almost certainly face a Recall Election. Lake’s legal proceedings will continue to stir up more and more evidence of malfeasance in Arizona’s elections, and it is highly likely that Kris Mayes (Attorney General) and Adrian Fontes (Secretary of State) would also be in peril of facing the same fate.
Arizona law requires a state official to be in office for six months before the recall is filed. That means, should Hobbs take office, Arizona will get much hotter than it already is in July as it groans under the weight of incompetent state leadership. 72% of Americans sided with Lake’s statement that Hobbs and Maricopa County disenfranchised Republican voters and botched their election on purpose, and that number must be approaching 80% by now, after the trial. Her opponent in such a Recall Election remains to be seen, as you will see by reading on.
VIII. Republican Runners-Up
If Donald Trump wants this nomination, he is going to get it. I am currently 50/50 on whether Ron DeSantis will run, because I think he has a better political future ahead of him if he waits until 2028, and he knows that. Trump, if elected in a manipulated election in 2024, has just one term ahead of him thanks to the 22nd Amendment. In that scenario, DeSantis can slide right over as a modern-day “Apprentice” and continue Making America Great Again, Again, without having borne the disgrace of trying to bloody Trump in the 2024 primary process. DeSantis will have had eight years turning Florida into a national treasure and would probably report immediately to a key advisory post upon completion, if not sooner.
These are the poor fools who are probably going to be announcing Presidential runs (political suicide attempt) in the coming months:
Nikki Haley – an establishment lackey who was once an attractive face of a modernizing Republican Party, and former South Carolina Governor and Ambassador to the United Nations. She will fare poorly.
Larry Hogan – outgoing governor of Maryland, and a true RINO who is conservative on pretty much nothing outside of certain fiscal policy. His lockdowns were some of the worst in America. He will not make it beyond the first few debates.
Mike Pence – the former Vice President’s book deal is a solid sign that he has something in the works, and what else would that be than a run for President? Had he fought for Trump’s (and his own!) stolen election in 2020, he would be remembered as a valiant fighter. Instead, he’s a distant second place finisher, at best.
Glenn Youngkin – Current Virginia Governor Youngkin is a bit of a darkhorse, but only because he’s been in office for just a year at this point. He checks enough establishment boxes to make him an easy electoral college victor by carrying his home state of Virginia, along with Arizona and Georgia, but he would have to make it through Donald Trump first, which will not happen in the industrial primaries or the conservative south, if anywhere.
Liz Cheney – Please, Dear God, let this happen.
IX. Kari Lake will Emerge as Donald Trump’s VP Pick
This prediction, like number seven, is contingent only upon cowardly courts upholding Katie Hobbs’s certified gubernatorial “win” in Arizona. With what was likely a ten percent plus win in Arizona, Lake appeals to standard Republicans, populist independents, and conservatives, and offers a strong contrast to President Trump, and hails from a critical electoral college state.
Just a decade ago, this pick would be very unlikely, given that candidates on a presidential ticket have generally been Vice Presidents, Governors, or U.S. Senators in the past; however, Donald Trump’s election in 2016 broke a lot of molds, including the one that would prevent an outsider like Kari Lake from joining him on ticket. Her rockstar appeal, wit, and unrelenting fight make her a fantastic option, and also bypasses any potential sticky issue pertaining to Florida residency and a DeSantis pick.
X. Serious Discussion to Replace Joe Biden for 2024
Joe Biden will be nearly 82 years old at the time of the 2024 election. While Donald Trump will be 78, not much younger, the difference in energy, enthusiasm, and resolve is palpable. With a litany of national issues, and Joe Biden’s true popularity, or lack thereof, shown by lack of interest in any public events, a strong primary challenger or 25th Amendment push is not out of the question. I do not expect any focused push to make either happen unprovoked; however, continued cognitive decline and national embarrassment may, without notice, mandate quick moves to activate other plans if he is unable to make any noticeable effort in 2024.
If Biden were not viable for 2024, I would anticipate Gavin Newsom or Pete Buttigieg to be favored over the sitting Vice President, who has very little appeal outside of parody TikTok videos.