Arizona’s Voter Registration, Census Results, and 2020 Numbers Don’t Reconcile
Arizona’s Voter Registration, Census Results, and 2020 Numbers Don’t Reconcile
Topic: Elections
Earlier this week, I posted about the glaring inconsistencies found in multiple data types related to Loving County, Texas, and election results that appear to be uncertifiable. The county’s ridiculously small size makes it easy to identify impossible results. On the other hand, rapidly growing states like Texas, Florida, Arizona, or Georgia can be more difficult to forecast results for and are often manipulated by media narratives.
“Californians are flooding Arizona and Texas,” squawks the mainstream media, seeking to justify engineered election outcomes. “Battleground Texas” became a thing a decade ago, and was once laughed at, but now the state is suddenly competitive, and no longer is it a laughing matter to Texas Republicans. Instead, there appears to be something like a choking act underway.
I can forecast (on the front end, and in hindsight) results based on three inputs: population change (census), voter registration (32 states register voters by party), and prior election results in a trend.
In the case of Arizona, a simple question exists. How does a relatively small state (11 electoral votes) rack up nearly a million net new “two party” (Democrat and Republican) votes from 2016, and not gain a single electoral vote for the coming election decade?
Allow me to explain the graphic above. In 2004, Bush added 322,642 votes in Arizona from his 2000 total. John Kerry added 208,183 votes to Al Gore’s losing total, for a total of 530,825 net new votes for the two main parties (2000 was a low turnout election relative to the four from 2004 to 2016, meaning the jump in 2004 is abnormally large). Obama and McCain combined for 267,010 net new votes, while the 2012 election was steeped in apathy on both sides. 2016 had a modest uptick, with a lot of wasted third party votes holding Trump’s total down. Anyone seeing a gain of 409,285 net new Republican votes in 2020 would bet the farm on a Trump victory, especially knowing that Arizona has been “blue” exactly once since 1952 (1996), and Maricopa County itself was still won by Dole even when he became the only Republican to lose the state during that period.
As indicated above, Trump’s gain in Maricopa County was roughly 248,000 votes, a Republican record in a Republican stronghold not won by Democrats since 1948 (Trump even won the county in 2016 with fewer votes than Romney had in 2012). Biden’s gain in 2020 was nearly three times the previous Democrat gain record in, accomplished by many varieties of fraud.
Here are the notes I assembled for Kari Lake’s team that suggest Maricopa County has massively flooded voter rolls:
Maricopa County
2008
Net New Registered Voters (RV) since 2004: 178,465
Net New Republican RV: 15,997
Net New Democrat RV: 63,481 (Obama 2008 is Gold Standard for Dem enthusiasm)
2012
Net New RV since 2008: 86,946
Net New Republican RV: -6,450
Net New Democrat RV: -34,359
2016
Net New RV since 2012: 343,884
Net New Republican RV: 81,857
Net New Democrat RV: 108,145
2020
Net New RV since 2016: 433,556
Net New Republican RV: 147,743
Net New Democrat RV: 196,658
Clearly, beginning in 2016, Maricopa County engineered a way to artificially flood its voter registration database, with Democrats having abnormally large registration numbers to give the county the appearance of a leftward trend. A blue Maricopa signals a blue Arizona, given that it and “blue” Pima County contribute roughly seven in nine votes in Arizona’s elections.
The good news for Republicans, even in “defeat”, is that such a large vote gain should represent a population boom sizeable enough to warrant a new elector, pushing Arizona to 12 electoral votes and giving the state legislature another Republican seat to map out.
Not so fast:
Here is what the 2020 census tells us about Maricopa County:
Growth from 2010 to 2020: 603,451
Growth from 1980 to 1990: 612,926
Growth from 1990 to 2000: 950,048
Growth from 2000 to 2010: 744,968
In conclusion, the 2020 election results do not reconcile with the reported population growth in Maricopa County, which is “officially” the lowest net gain in population since the 1970s. So now, why such massively bloated voter registration numbers and election results, with population growth for the three previous decades not bringing such a drastic change? Trump’s term brought about unprecedented Republican registration growth in the state and Maricopa County, and yielded appropriately massive vote increases, but are now overwhelmed by Democrats?
If Arizona has so many new votes statewide, then why is there no new elector, while Colorado and Oregon, both of similar size, each gained one? Are the election results wrong, or are the registrations cooked, or is the census deliberately shorted to ensure red states like Arizona are deprived of proper representation?
Let the reader decide.
Census was cooked - I thought they somewhat admitted to that a few weeks ago but I have to believe it's mainly the voter-rolls. 1 day to vote by paper ballot, hand count the votes while those counting are monitored by Party trained volunteers without anyone having the authority to shut those monitors out and announce the winner by 11pm at least in each time-zone. If you wanted to throw them a bone then add and only add 1 additional day to vote. No mail-in ballots of any kind - period - even for those who claim they can't be physically there. Setup a monitored way for them to vote on that day or two. Even for those in the military oversees - have them vote by paper with the count being done the same way it is here in the states. Those vote totals can be announced and sent securely to each state. Do not allow anyone to remark or even cure a ballot. If you can't figure out "how" to vote then don't.
Voter-rolls: A system should be set up to allow people to register but they must sign and return a card stating they are going to show up at a poll and vote. Another card should be filled out at the polling place so that the two cards can be checked to determine if you are who you say you are. You must also show a photo I.D. which includes a United States proof of citizenship and those should be free to obtain at most government offices with a strict screening process. The only voter rolls that exist should be those who returned the card stating they were going to vote. Then allow someone to walk in, prove who they are and and their residence they can register to vote on the same day as they vote. This eliminates all the registered dead people, people who moved and ghost voters including illegals who vote.
Clearly, something doesn’t add up. Who makes the decision on new electors?