Is Joe Biden Abandoning Georgia? Four Key Takeaways if True

Topic: Elections

I had to fight all my life to survive.  They were all against me… but I beat the bastards and left them in the ditch.

Ty Cobb

I have written extensively about the Peach State in these very pages and elsewhere, about how unnatural it was for anyone not named Trump to win its electoral votes in 2020, all while presenting statistics to back up my claims and pointing out the utter idiocy of the Secretary of State, Brad Raffensperger, and the seemingly controlled nature of Brian Kemp, the Secretary of State turned Governor.  I have traveled to the far reaches of that state to appear at conventions and even delivered a smackdown on a debate opponent, a sitting state representative, who thought I was there to use Mike Pence’s favorite terms – anomalies and irregularities, to describe criminal election manipulation.

Recently, I shared a video suggesting the Biden campaign is pulling its efforts out of Georgia for the 2024 election cycle.  Commenters vouched for the creator’s reputation and desire to put out viable content, and if you watch the video, it seems well sourced, indeed.  If the video remains accurate in coming months, it appears the campaign will kick off in earnest with Georgia not appearing in the Top 5 states for the Biden camp.

Here are four takeaways from my view if that remains the case:

I)               Biden Reveals His Play

Trump will enter the election with a near-guarantee of 176 electoral votes, including Florida’s 30, Ohio’s 17, and Iowa’s 6.  It is highly likely he will carry Alaska, which I consider in danger of becoming the next Oregon thanks to Republican stupidity, and despite substantial efforts to rip off the Lone Star State, that won’t happen in 2024 with Trump due to amass half the Latino vote, or more.  Those two together, with the 176, put Trump at 219.

If Georgia has been scuttled for the Biden campaign, and we know he is challenging for North Carolina, a state with substantial cheating in the 2020 election but under the radar since Trump still won its electoral votes, then that makes it clear his Top 5 states are, likely in this order, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and North Carolina.  North Carolina continues its Republican registration trend, now has at least some form of Voter ID requirement, and will likely have the uber-popular Mark Robinson manning the Republican gubernatorial position on the ballot.  North Carolina, if held by Trump, turns the electoral count to 235, and if Georgia is a forfeit by Biden – that has Trump at 251.  That would mean Biden can only spare one of Arizona or Wisconsin to Trump and still reach 270 – in that case, I would put Wisconsin on his priority list over Arizona, since it needs to be held to deny the presence of a working-class Trump surge in the Midwest.

II)             Georgia May be Unwinnable for Biden