In another reality somewhere, I have a thriving journal in which I write about baseball, travel, poker, photography, practical jokes, and other things I love, and would love to write about in depth without the fear of our nation crumbling with such impending certainty that it prevents my children from ever coming to love and enjoy hobbies and pastimes like those I’ve listed above. That reminds me of a quote from our second President:
"I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy. My sons ought to study mathematics and philosophy, geography, natural history, naval architecture, navigation, commerce and agriculture in order to give their children a right to study painting, poetry, music, architecture, statuary, tapestry, and porcelain.”
John Adams
Back in this reality, we have 258 days until November 5, otherwise called Election Day, an intermission point between 6 weeks of pre-Election Day voting activities and perhaps two or more weeks of post-election tabulation and misdirection activities. The existence of this brief window in time means my focus will continue to be putting proverbial pen to paper to pinpoint the most likely scenarios in play regarding this coming election – which is the last election that truly matters and gives American citizens a chance to right a wrong, and in doing so, re-seat the only candidate for the presidency who truly understands the corruption of the American election system.
What am I saying? Returning Donald Trump to the White House gives us a chance to expose and amend the corruption in the elections system. As with anything else, that may or may not happen to the extent desired, for a variety of reasons – first and foremost, judicial corruption; however, there is no other Republican candidate who will have the gonads to even open that Pandora’s Box if installed at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, because its inefficiency and instability would have helped them get there and, if thoroughly derided, will provide just cause to have them removed by the same means Trump was in 2020’s quasi-election. All that separates Trump from his return is Joe Biden and his media apparatus, supported by sycophantic blue and purple-state “leaders,” universities, think tanks, woke churches, grievance and victimhood activists, and wacked-out feminists and their alphabet mafia comrades.
Yes, Joe Biden.
I felt prompted to put these thoughts downrange because I was deluged with comments on Truth Social yesterday about Michelle Obama, and her much ballyhooed but non-existent presidential run. Many people I have tremendous respect for will not agree with my article today, and that is fine – we are adults and can have differing opinions, so long as we own it if we get it wrong. On August 22, 2024, if someone other than Joe Biden emerges from the Democrat convention as the party’s nominee, I will cite this article immediately, just as I did when Ron DeSantis announced his presidential campaign after I had expected him to keep his powder dry and not be run over like a toad in a driveway by President Trump.
183 days. That is how long the Democrats have to brand, stand up, fund, and rally behind someone other than Joe Biden. Here are three reasons why Joe Biden will be renominated as the Democrat Party presidential nominee:
I. Polling Clues
Again, for those of you new to this journal, polling is simply a tool. It is neither good nor evil on its own. Political polls are used for nefarious purposes when used as tools of persuasion, and even when conducted with a modicum of integrity, yield less reliable results than in years past thanks to access to voters, sample demographics, and other behavioral factors, such as social desirability bias (when voters tell a pollster an answer they think the pollster will approve of, even anonymously).
Yesterday, I posted toplines of an Emerson poll of Pennsylvania. Emerson is a left-skewing poll, and one of Trump’s harshest pollsters in past campaigns. That poll has Trump up over Biden in the Keystone State by 2 points, which is far too low in real elections not plagued by Automatic Voter Registration, mass mail-in balloting, and ballot harvesting, but I digress. Predictably, without the hometown Scranton Joe phony blue collar routine to play, Kamala Harris trails Trump by 9 in Pennsylvania, which is right about where I would expect to find the state after a decade and a half of Republican trending and the Trump working-class realignment in play.
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