Captain K's 2023 Predictions Scorecard at Halftime

Topic: Perspective

With great power comes great responsibility.

If that adage is good enough for Spider-Man, then everyone who has built a reputation forecasting and predicting certain things owes it to those who read his work to adopt the same mantra.  It is nice to take a victory lap from time to time, like I did in 2016 when I was the only project manager at my Oil and Gas company to accurately predict the Trump win, though I had no presence as a so-called “public figure” at that time.  If you can own it when you step in it and make a wrong call, it goes a long way toward establishing credibility.  As such, I’ve recently owned making an incorrect call on the likelihood of a DeSantis 2024 campaign, though I made that prediction without knowledge of Trump’s coming legal plight or that Florida would roll back its “resign to run” law.

On New Year’s Day, I released an article dubbed “Ten Bold Predictions for 2023.”  I am here right around the midway point in the year to assess just how those predictions are going.  Consider it an act of accountability, transparency, and situational awareness all in one tidy package.  Without further ado, here are how my predictions are shaping up as we approach halftime in 2023.

I. Election Integrity is and will Remain King

Rating: Direct Hit

Rasmussen reports 62% of American likely voters believe cheating decided the 2020 election, with another 6% “not sure,” meaning just 32% report no belief that the election was compromised with widespread election fraud.  

In Georgia, the unsealing of the Halderman Report has prompted further discussion of Georgia’s electoral crisis, and VoterGA’s efforts continue on in the Peach State to gain access to Fulton County ballots.

Kari Lake’s court cases in Arizona, though yet to yield the results hoped for thanks to judicial corruption, have blown the lid off any belief that Maricopa County is running fair elections, which will make it more difficult for them to double down in 2024 and to do the same to what is setting up to be an unstoppable Trump campaign.  Other states continue to leak out more and more disturbing information related to the last two federal election cycles, and I will elaborate on that in Point IV.

II. Florida will Overtake Texas as the King Republican State

Rating: Direct Hit

Texas is waning in strength and stature as a conservative bastion, and those with a watchful eye on the Lone Star State are humiliated by the inaction of Governor Greg Abbott to deal with the border crisis, the sham impeachment of Attorney General Ken Paxton, and worst of all, the Iscariot-like speakership of Dade Phelan, who still won’t explain to his constituents just what in the hell he was doing earlier this Spring when he couldn’t string two sentences together on the House floor.

Meanwhile, Florida is the hotbed of freedom and the launching pad of the DeSantis candidacy (notice I said Republican), basically swapping places with Texas and where the two states appeared on the right-wing spectrum two decades ago.  The state’s registration continues to surge in a Republican direction, and it is a near certainty that Florida will be won by more votes and a higher percentage margin (presumably with Donald Trump as GOP nominee) than Texas will be.

III. Blue State Blues will Intensify

Rating: Direct Hit

Nothing has stopped the trend of blue staters moving to red states, especially Georgia, North Carolina, Texas, Florida, Arizona, Utah, and Idaho.  In fact, this trend is so pronounced I’ve discovered the Census Bureau has been rigging population data to suppress these obvious truths, that blue states are raging dumpster fires unfit to exist in a free society.

New York Governor Hochul is trying to put people back in masks, drag queen story hour is pushed 24/7, and states like Minnesota are working to permanently engineer elections in one way – leftward.  There is no doubt that this trend will continue until these states ultimately collapse.  The information everyone needs to know is if the collapse of these parasitic states will coincide with dragging down the healthy hosts the disease is being transferred to.  The eyes of Texas are upon us.

IV. Remaining Blue State Patriots will Revitalize the Freedom Movement

Rating: Direct Hit

Look no further to direct hits in the two most significant blue states – New York and California.  In The Empire State, the New York Citizens Audit group released a massively detailed, peer-reviewed report outlining the severe corruption of New York’s voter roll, and put science to the suspicion that nothing in our election universe can be trusted as it is told.  The media responded as you might expect, seeking to confuse and obfuscate.

In California, the Los Angeles Dodgers suffered in humiliating fashion after they decided to double down in honoring drag queens on the field, which drew the ire of local Catholics, and rightfully so.  A massive protest left the stadium nearly empty at first pitch.  It is safe to say lots of fighting spirit remains behind America’s blue iron curtain.

V. Dissidence will Become the New Counter-Culture

Rating: Direct Hit

I could discuss social developments, like the point above, to describe this point, but nothing is more clear in demonstrating that Americans have had enough of going along with mindless posturing and prodding than Donald Trump’s rising approval after being targeted with federal indictments.

While polls should always be subject to skepticism, Trump has posted his largest leads ever over Joe Biden in many polls that had him down the entire duration of the 2020 campaign, including Marquette’s.  Simply put, as we near the climax of this Fourth Turning, a significant majority of Americans are done being told what and how to think.

VI. Separatism in the Open

Rating: Shrapnel Spray

While nothing major is in progress about merging states, such as Idaho and Oregon, organizations advocating for new states (like New California) continue to pop up, and “national divorce” language continues to pop up in standard political conversation, and will likely continue as Americans observe President Trump’s judicial proceedings in the open.

VII. Katie Hobbs will Face a Recall Election

Rating: Likely Miss

Although petitions cannot be circulated until July 2, Lake’s team is not pushing for a recall.  While the mainstream media mocked that news, the die is cast that Lake will continue fighting to have the 2022 election aired out in the highest court possible.  To push for a recall election would undermine the public perception of her belief in the merits of her own case.

VIII. Republican Runners-Up

Rating: Shrapnel Spray

I listed DeSantis’s campaign as a 50/50 likelihood of happening, at a time when I had a much more positive opinion of the man.  I struck paydirt on my predictions that Nikki Haley and Mike Pence would announce campaigns, will miss on Larry Hogan, and am waiting to see what comes of Glenn Youngkin and Liz Cheney.  I would expect Cheney before Youngkin because the debate stage will need a real Trump hater on board to provide media talking points.

IX. Kari Lake Will Emerge as Donald Trump’s VP Pick

Rating: Direct Hit

Many moving pieces were in play when I wrote the predictions six months ago, including Lake’s gubernatorial lawsuits, which are still floating around.  If she were to prevail in court, all bets are off.  While I’m not wishing for judicial corruption to continue, if she remains locked out of the Phoenix mansion, she looks like a slam dunk to me – a popular female outsider who bashes the mainstream media, calls elections for what they are, and comes from a state that ranks as one of the most important on the 2024 electoral map, behind only Georgia and Pennsylvania.

The mainstream media are beginning to trash Lake again, because they know she must be right on top of this list.  While her inclusion on the ticket for Vice President would have been laughed off a decade ago, Trump’s own election to the Presidency sans previously held office paves the way for a new outsider that strikes fear in the hearts of those who seek to manipulate the future of our nation.

X. Serious Discussion to Replace Joe Biden for 2024

Rating: Direct Hit

Biden has announced his re-election campaign, but his numbers are horrible, with even the mainstream media struggling to show him leading Trump in the 2024 race, and his approval numbers weak.  He has drawn a primary from Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., which is being suppressed from the get-go, as evidenced by the DNC declining any opportunities for what would be highly watched debates between the two men.  Now that Hunter Biden’s criminality has led to exposure of the senior Biden, this conversation is only beginning.  If Joe goes down (naturally or otherwise), look for Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, or even Michelle Obama to start making waves.  The DNC will continue to suppress outsiders like Kennedy, and keep tweeners like Bernie Sanders at bay.

Captain K’s Prediction Scorecard

Direct Hit: 7/10

Shrapnel Spray: 2/10

Likely Miss: 1/10