Know Your 2024 Electoral College: Massachusetts (11 Electoral Votes)

Topic: Elections

MASSACHUSETTS

Basic Election Facts

2024 Electoral Votes: 11

Population (2020 Census): 7,029,917 (+482,288 since 2010)

Likely Population at 2024 Election: 7,000,000

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Partisanship

Governor Party: Democrat

State House Majority: Democrat

State Senate Majority: Democrat

U.S. House Delegation: 9 Democrats

U.S. Senate Delegation: 2 Democrats

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Ethnic Demographics (2020 census)

White: 71.4%

Latino: 12.6%

Black: 8.2%

Other: 7.8%

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Presidential History since 1932

Times Republican: 4

Last: Ronald Reagan, 1984, +2.8%

Times Democrat: 19

Last: Joe Biden, 2020, +33.5%

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Presidential Election Characteristics

·      No Republican presidential candidate has carried even one of Massachusetts’s 14 counties since George H.W. Bush did so in a losing statewide effort in 1988.

·      A number of counties in the interior of the state are blue-collar and have the potential to go for a candidate like Donald Trump without modern electoral engineering, including mass mail-in voting and ballot harvesting.

·      The statewide vote is dominated by Middlesex County, an affluent county northwest of Suffolk County and core Boston, which cast twice as many votes as the next largest voting county from 2020, Worcester County.

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2020 Review

Official: Joe Biden +33.5% (1,215,000 votes in margin)

Keshel Revised Likely: Joe Biden +29.1% (990,811 votes in margin)

Massachusetts is one in just a handful of states I believe had a legitimate left-tilt in 2020 organically, and one I believe is likely bloated by roughly 224,189 votes, led by Middlesex and Worcester Counties in the center of the state.  That unnecessary vote is critical for padding the numbers to produce “81 million votes” nationally.  Trump made a modest gain in votes, but still fell short of Mitt Romney’s raw 2012 vote total in which he lost the state to Barack Obama by 23.1%.  Notably, Suffolk County reflects a low indication of election manipulation, and likely channeled its resources up and down I-95, corroborating what appears to be serious bloating of the vote in southeastern New Hampshire (thanks to the same day voter registration loophole that has been exploited for years), southeastern Maine, and Rhode Island.  Island Counties Dukes and Nantucket are also minimally impacted, perhaps because ferrying to harvest ballots in the two smallest counties is a waste of time and resources.

2024 Preview

Prediction: Joe Biden >+30% official, <25% clean

Evaporating a Democrat margin of roughly a million votes in a state that has begun to lose population since the COVID scam will take converting their existing voter base, which is disproportionately made up of left-leaning, highly educated whites, which is one of the only demographics nationally moving to the left.  It is possible, with low Democrat enthusiasm and the slightest clamp on 2020-level industrial election fraud, that Trump carries a county for the GOP for the first time since 1988 – likely Bristol County if one is to fall.  Look for President Trump to make modest gains but fall short of Dwight Eisenhower’s 1952 Republican record of 1,393,197 votes.  This state will be called for Biden as soon as polls close and needs to have another decade of Democrat education to start smelling smoke.

If you would like to sponsor a precinct map for any of this state’s 14 counties, e-mail mapping@goefi.org.

Previous Installments

Florida

South Carolina

Delaware

Maryland

Washington, D.C.

New Jersey

New York

Connecticut

Rhode Island

Author’s Note: Information is power. This report is free for all to view, and I believe the other Electoral College previews will be, as well. If you find this journal useful and informative, please subscribe as a paying member. My travels and mission this year will not be inexpensive, and your support is greatly appreciated. Thank you!