Know Your 2024 Electoral College: Wyoming (3 Electoral Votes)
Topic: Elections
WYOMING
Basic Election Facts
2024 Electoral Votes: 3
Population (2020 Census): 576,851 (+13,225 since 2010)
Likely Population at 2024 Election: 600,000
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Partisanship
Governor Party: Republican
State House Majority: Republican
State House Majority: Republican
U.S. House Delegation: 1 Republican
U.S. Senate Delegation: 2 Republicans
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Ethnic Demographics (2020 census)
White: 84.7%
Latino: 10.8%
Black: 0.9%
Other: 3.6%
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Presidential History since 1932
Times Republican: 18
Last: Donald Trump, 2020, +43.4%
Times Democrat: 5
Last: Lyndon Johnson, 1964, +13.1%
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Presidential Election Characteristics
· Wyoming has fewer votes than any other state, and even fewer than Washington, D.C. Just 276,765 ballots were certified in the 2020 presidential election, which appears to be slightly inflated.
· Wyoming belongs to a group of regional Rocky Mountain and Great Plains states (plus Alaska) that hasn’t backed a Democrat for president since Lyndon Johnson’s national landslide in 1964.
· Politically, the state is made up of 21 Republican strongholds, including Laramie County, which contains the state capital of Cheyenne, one competitive county (Albany, home to the University of Wyoming), and a Democrat stronghold, Teton County, which is home to Liz Cheney and a smorgasbord of other affluent white liberals who claim Republican registration status. It is the biggest Republican stronghold in America.
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2020 Review
Official: Donald Trump +43.4% (120,068 votes in margin)
Keshel Revised Likely: Donald Trump +51.1% (134,184 votes in margin)
Trump won the state by slightly more votes than he did in 2016, despite his gain in votes being the highest for a GOP nominee since 2004. Biden’s total of 73,491 isn’t overly impressive, but higher than Obama’s 2012 total despite the state’s massive hemorrhaging of Democrat voter registrations and minimal population growth. No counties rate critical for indication of election manipulation, but many counties, such as Albany County, which flipped away from Trump, show signs of local manipulation, ballot harvesting, and other disparities. Laramie County, due to population size, leads the way with the most likely fraudulent ballots. Trump’s 2020 margin of victory lags his 2016 margin by 3.2%.
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2024 Preview
Prediction: Donald Trump >+45% official, >+55% clean
In lopsided states, voter registration by party can be misleading because the minority party will often register its members under the dominant party’s banner to mislead or pursue office through deception. A good example of this would be Liz Cheney of Teton County registering as a Republican to occupy a U.S. House seat, at least until exposed as a Uniparty asset and summarily sent packing. Still, the shift in registrations is shocking. In 2020, Wyoming was R+52.8%, with a 117,038-registration lead for the GOP. Today, it is a shocking R+70.0%, with Republicans leading in our smallest state by 154,667 registrations. Democrats have just 24,325 registered voters (considering they have the capacity for about 55,000 to 60,000 legitimate ballots in the state, it is clear many Democrats hide as Republicans in the rolls) as of the June 2024 Secretary of State update.
A number that big probably comes with some substance, most likely the movement of the 10.8% Latino share of the population and a continuation of legacy registration shifting. Trump will easily clear 200,000 votes, perhaps up to 220,000 or more, and will probably approach a 50% margin of victory even in certified results. Albany County may flip back to Trump, so viewers can expect Teton County to be the only slam-dunk Biden county in the state. Wyoming will be called with little fanfare as soon as polls close for three more Trump electoral votes, and the Cheney’s will wring their hands and tell the press they don’t know what has happened to the party of Lincoln, along with some other virtue signaling nonsense.
If you would like to sponsor a precinct map for any of this state’s 23 counties, e-mail mapping@goefi.org.
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Author’s Note: Information is power. This report is free for all to view, and I believe the other Electoral College previews will be, as well. If you find this journal useful and informative, please subscribe as a paying member. My travels and mission this year will not be inexpensive, and your support is greatly appreciated. Thank you!
Again, outstanding work!